Windows 8's usage uptake falls further behind Vista's
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Windows 8 fell further behind the pace of Windows Vista's uptake last month, a metric company said today, even as usage share of the new operating system continued to slowly climb.
Statistics from Net Applications showed that Windows 8's January share was 2.5% of all Windows PCs, up from December's 1.9%. When what the analytics firm tagged as "touch" for Windows 8 and Windows RT were added, the January total rose slightly to 2.6%.
Because Net Applications measures operating system usage share by tallying unique visitors to websites, the "touch" numbers reflected browsers -- overwhelmingly Internet Explorer 10 (IE10) -- run from the user interface once named "Metro" on Windows 8 and Windows RT.
Even so, Windows 8 share lagged behind the 3.3% share that Vista scored after its third full month of availability. In fact, last month's seven-tenths of a point gap between the two was more than double the difference of three-tenths of a point in December, indicating that Windows 8 is not only not matching Vista's pace, but failing further behind.
Windows 8's inability to match Vista's usage, first seen last month, is an ill omen for Microsoft's new operating system. Vista has been pegged a failure -- Microsoft itself has not bothered to mention the OS for years -- because of its lackluster adoption. Associations with that flop, rather than with the triumphs of Windows XP and Windows 7, increasingly paint Windows 8 as a failure thus far.
Another troubling sign for Windows 8 is that its gains month-by-month have slowed slightly since its release. In January, for example, Windows 8 grew by a smaller amount than it did in either November or December 2012.
On the brighter side, the operating system has increased not only month by month, but within January, week by week. During the week ending Jan. 26, for instance, Windows 8 recorded a usage share of 2.7% of all Windows systems, up from the previous weeks' 2.4% and 2.2%.
But Windows 8's prospects remain extremely dim when compared with Windows 7. By the end of Windows 7's third month of availability, the 2009 edition powered 8.2% of all Windows machines, or more than three times Windows 8's current share.
Microsoft has maintained that sales of Windows 8 licenses have matched those of Windows 7 at the same point in its release cycle. But Net Applications' numbers are at odds with that claim.
The gap between Windows 8's and Vista's usage uptake pace widened in January as the new operating system fell even further behind Windows 7's uptake late 2009 and early 2010. (Data: Net Applications.)
Some analysts have speculated that while Microsoft has sold approximately the same number of Windows 8 licenses as it did of Windows 7, the PCs associated with many of those licenses languish in OEM and retailer inventories, preventing them from being counted by Net Applications. Another possible explanation: Some who purchased a Windows 8 PC, with its Windows 8 license, have subsequently applied downgrade rights to run the older Windows 7.
Ultimately, however, experts believe that the problem for Windows 8 lies in an accelerating shift away from desktop operating systems to those powering tablets, a market where Microsoft has so far failed to drum up significant demand.
In an interview earlier this week, Bob O'Donnell of IDC noted that tablets have cannibalized the time spent on PCs -- just as they've cannibalized sales of traditional desktops and laptops. "People are using tablets in front of the TV, or for a couple of quick emails between meetings, and that takes away some of the time once spent on PCs," said O'Donnell.
"And there's a lot of people who have relatively-recent-vintage PCs with a darn good operating system on them," he added, referring to Windows 7. "The big picture is that [previously] the only IT a consumer bought was a PC. Now they have IT spend[ing] across PCs, tablets and smartphones."
Net Applications also reported statistics on other editions of Windows.
Both Windows XP and Windows 7 reversed long-running trends last month, with XP gaining four-tenths of a percentage point to end January at 39.5% of all personal computers, or 43.1% of Windows-only machines. Meanwhile, Windows 7 lost six-tenths of a percentage point to slip to 44.5% of all PCs and 48.5% of all Windows PCs.
Typically, XP sheds share and Windows 7 gains ground.
Net Applications measures operating system usage by tracking unique visitors to the tens of thousands of websites it monitors for clients. Some, but not all, of its data is available to the public on its site.
Gregg Keizer covers Microsoft, security issues, Apple, Web browsers and general technology breaking news for Computerworld. Follow Gregg on Twitter at @gkeizer, on Google+ or subscribe to Gregg's RSS feed. His email address is firstname.lastname@example.org.
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Posted by Anonymous at 20:34:04 on February 4, 2013
Posted by MadEngineer at 16:34:20 on February 4, 2013
CNNmoney: "Windows sales rose 24% to $5.8 billion in the quarter that ended Dec. 31. Microsoft unveiled its years-in-the-making Windows overhaul on Oct. 26."
But [windows 8] pales in comparison to prior launches of the operating system: Windows sales soared 76% during the quarter that Windows 7 launched, and rose by 65% when Windows Vista debuted.
Thus, in terms of REVENUE, Windows 8 is going only ONE THIRD as well as Vista or Windows 7 during the first quarter release period.
This is just the latest data point coming out now showing that the whole Windows 8/Windows RT/Metro UI ecosystem is DOA, just as predicted many months ago by tens of thousands of analysts and advance testers.
Now we have additional proof that Windows 8 is doing only ONE THIRD as well as Windows 7 during comparable first quarter release periods. Apparently most people actually learned something from the Vista fiasco: look to see exactly what's in the Microsoft Kool-Aid cup before gulping any of it down.
Analysts and testers told Microsoft many months ago that Metro UI was a horrible interface, particularly on PCs, WHICH DO NOT NEED touchscreen interfaces in the first place. This latter fact was demonstrated two years ago when vendors tried to convince consumers that the next "improved" laptop that they must buy had a touchscreen, and that whole push flew about as well as a lead balloon. And yet Microsoft obviously learned nothing from that fiasco.
And then you have a few hundred million enterprise and government users performing tasks like CAD/CAM design, accounting spreadsheets and auto title registration on their PCs. Did Microsoft REALLY believe these millions were going to lean over their desks thousands of times a day to inaccurately poke smudges on their vertical "touch-screen" monitors instead of just click, click, clicking their mouses 100 times faster and with 1/1000 the effort as screen-poking? What on earth was Microsoft thinking?
And to top this off, Microsoft really screwed the pooch by releasing Windows RT, Windows 8, Surface RT and Surface Pro all at about the same time, and then 100% confusing almost all non-technical consumers about what was what and what was the same and what was different among the bunch. As a consequence, weaknesses perceived in one of the bunch are indubitably linked to all of them in the minds of consumers since they were confused about what was what to start with. Thus if a consumer hates Windows 8 they're not going to want to try a Windows RT device and vice versa.
So, we have Windows 8 which is already (rightfully) the most hated operating system of all time, and Windows RT, which many are finding out is essentially useless, and you've got a half-baked version of Windows RT embodied by Metro UI in Windows 8. And then Microsoft spends 1.5 billion on a horribly confusing advertising campaign about all of this. You've pretty much got a situation as if Ford and Coke had introduced the Edsel and New Coke together in a 1.5 billion dollar joint ad campaign. How do you suppose that would have worked out?
And even worse for Microsoft, the world is moving at a MUCH faster pace than when Microsoft had it's last major disaster, namely Vista, in which they had three years to "finally get it right" when they released Windows 7, which was basically just Vista that worked.
Today, Microsoft doesn't have three years to get it right, they have six months. But they don't really even have six months because they botched things so badly to start with. Microsoft has already poisoned the well with their massive product-release and marketing incompetence, trying to stuff the hated Windows 8 down the throats of the masses and the enterprise when tens of thousands of advanced testers and analysts told them it would be a disaster, and producing over-priced, half-baked, me-too products like the Surface RT. Not to mention the execrable Metro UI which was ripped off from the 1996 AOL interface, only WITHOUT being the least intuitive!
In six months, the debate will be over. The evidence will be overwhelming by then that the Windows 8 ecosystem is the biggest disaster in the history of Microsoft, and furthermore, their "partners" will also have lost billions as well by uncritically gulping gigantic cups of the Windows 8 ecosystem Kool-Aid.
Posted by Asok Asus at 6:08:02 on February 3, 2013
Posted by Anonymous at 20:35:51 on February 4, 2013
Posted by Dave Lane at 22:10:24 on February 3, 2013
But [windows 8] pales in comparison to prior launches of the operating system: Windows sales soared 76% during the quarter that Windows 7 launched, and rose by 65% when Windows Vista debuted."
Here they are comparing the percentage of revenue. Not units or licenses, but revenue.
So who upgraded to Vista a quarter before the release of Windows 7? Vista was a complete mess. No one wanted it. So of coarse Windows 7's revenue was higher a quarter after launching compared to Vista's last quarter. Who was buying Windows XP the quarter before Windows Vista launched. XP was old. People wanted to move on. So not many people. Who was buying Windows 7 the Quarter before Windows 8 launched? Everyone. Windows 7 was (and still may be) the fastest selling software in the history of our planet. Now expecting any operating to top that is just crazy.
Posted by Anonymous at 18:32:06 on February 3, 2013
Windows 8 will only be good in countries that have an excellent internet service as so much is to be done on line
Posted by ilikefree at 13:49:02 on February 4, 2013
Funny, I'm using a mouse and keyboard with Windows 8 right now. Interesting. According to you, that's not possible and was one of your main points on why Windows 8 won't succeed. Are you sure you've tried it before, or just a pure hater?
By the way, name an app that you use on Windows 7 that won't work on Windows 8. I was just playing Halo for PC on my Windows 8 laptop with an Xbox 360 controller plugged into the USB port. It's still a fun game you know.
Posted by Anonymous at 18:00:34 on February 3, 2013
There was only 800 million active Windows computers when Vista Launched compared to the 1450 million (actually, probably even more, but that's speculation) active Windows computers now.
So which is more, 3.3% of 800 million or 2.6% of 1450 million? According to these percentages, Vista had 26.4 million units. Windows 8 has 37.7 million.
Here's the numbers.
Here's one from Gartner stating 1 billion active users in June of 2008. (can't find the link where I got my 800 million number)http://www.gartner.com/it/page..."Gartner Says More than 1 Billion PCs In Use Worldwide and Headed to 2 Billion Units by 2014"
STAMFORD, Conn., June 23, 2008-
"The number of installed PCs worldwide has surpassed 1 billion units, according to Gartner, Inc. Gartner analysts estimate the worldwide installed base of PCs is growing just under 12 percent annually. At that pace, it will surpass 2 billion units by early 2014."Remember, this is ALL pc's. Windows was roughly 90% market share of this 1 billion, making roughly 900 million, but that was in June of 2008. Beginning in 2007 (when Vista launched) was roughly 800 million active Windows users.
"PCs In-Use Reached over 1.6B in 2011. USA has nearly 311M PCs In-Use"Once again, Windows is roughly 90% of that number. Roughly 1.45 billion active Windows users as of End of 2011 / beginning 2012.Percentages mean nothing unless you know the total numbers at the time of these percentages.
Posted by Anonymous at 3:31:08 on February 3, 2013
Posted by Barry in Caloundra Qld at 17:45:31 on February 2, 2013